Weather Forecast - Japanese GP - 60 % of rain on sunday !

Written on March 29, 2025
F1 Insider
Weather Forecast - Japanese GP - 60 % of rain on sunday !

Date of Report: March 29, 2025
Event Dates: April 4-6, 2025
Location: Suzuka Circuit, Japan
 

Friday, April 4 – Free Practice 1 & 2

  • Conditions: Mostly cloudy with a gentle southeast breeze. There’s a low-to-moderate chance of light rain or drizzle developing in the afternoon.
  • Temperature: High of 14°C (57°F), low of 9°C (48°F).
  • Precipitation Chance: Approximately 30-40%, based on early ensemble model outputs suggesting a possible “pulse” of rain in the region (per posts on X from weather enthusiasts tracking Suzuka trends).
  • Wind: Light, 10-15 kph from the southeast.

Weather Forecast - Japanese GP - 60 % of rain on sunday !

Saturday, April 5 – Free Practice 3 & Qualifying

  • Conditions: Overcast skies with a slight chance of scattered light showers persisting from Friday. Conditions may trend drier by late afternoon.
  • Temperature: High of 16°C (60°F), low of 10°C (50°F).
  • Precipitation Chance: Around 20-30%, reflecting a tapering off from Friday’s potential rain pulse (aligned with The Economic Times’ early outlook of a 40% chance of drizzle for the weekend, economictimes.indiatimes.com, March 24, 2025).
  • Wind: Light-to-moderate, 15-20 kph from the southeast.

Weather Forecast - Japanese GP - 60 % of rain on sunday !

Sunday, April 6 – Race Day

  • Conditions: Cloudy with breaks of sun possible in the morning, but a moderate chance of light rain showers in the afternoon around the 2 p.m. JST race start.
  • Temperature: High of 17°C (63°F), low of 11°C (52°F).
  • Precipitation Chance: 40-60%, driven by a potential third “pulse” of rain indicated by ensemble models (X posts, March 28, 2025, citing weather model outputs). This aligns with Total Motorsport’s 2024 observation of Suzuka’s “notoriously variable April weather” (total-motorsport.com, April 6, 2024).
  • Wind: Moderate, 10-20 kph from the southeast, with occasional gusts up to 25 kph.

Disclaimer

This forecast is based on data available as of March 28, 2025, over a week out from the event. Weather patterns can shift significantly, so check updated reports closer to April 4 for precision. For now, expect a cool, potentially damp weekend that could shake up the Japanese GP.